Betfair Trading Community Podcast

Send us Fan MailIn this episode, I’m breaking down the positives and negatives of an Over 2.5 Goals strategy on Betfair.On the surface, it looks like one of the simplest football strategies out there.You just need three goals.Doesn’t matter who scores them. Doesn’t matter who wins. A 2-1, 3-0 or even 4-4 all do the job.But simple doesn’t necessarily mean profitable.I’ll look at:Why Over 2.5 Goals is such an easy market to understandWhy there are so many potential qualifiersThe stats I’d actually testWhy “high-scoring teams” isn’t automatically an edgeThe problem with lower strike rates and losing runsWhy the price you’re taking matters more than simply predicting goalsHow I’d start backtesting an Over 2.5 strategy from scratchThe big question isn’t:“Will this match have three goals?”It’s:“Is the chance of three goals higher than the odds suggest?”That’s where things get interesting.Support the showSign up here: https://checkout.lightspeedstats.com/lightspeed-stats-football-stats/Twitter: @BetfairTCWebsite: ht