Wsj What's News

Why Almost Everyone Loses on Prediction Markets

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A.M. Edition for May 4. President Trump announces a new plan for opening the Strait of Hormuz - but traders seem unconvinced, sending oil prices higher. Plus, GameStop makes a massive play for e-commerce giant Ebay. And a Journal investigation reveals why most prediction market bets end in a loss. WSJ’s Neil Mehta details the winners and losers of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket - and why the odds are worse than a Vegas slot machine. Daniel Bach hosts. Sign up for the WSJ’s free What’s News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.